Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.200038 0.225194 0.251690 0.281620 0.314431 0.349244 0.388917
2025-05-25 0.165091 0.198880 0.236417 0.281012 0.332336 0.389340 0.457217
2025-06-01 0.140318 0.179356 0.224772 0.281081 0.348563 0.426359 0.522323
2025-06-08 0.120984 0.163226 0.214455 0.280424 0.362321 0.459809 0.583708
2025-06-15 0.108721 0.153946 0.210852 0.286594 0.383521 0.502081 0.656586
2025-06-22 0.096296 0.142836 0.203487 0.286761 0.396368 0.533820 0.717065
2025-06-29 0.085828 0.133048 0.196652 0.286536 0.407939 0.563666 0.775564
2025-07-06 0.076950 0.124422 0.190403 0.286200 0.418723 0.592278 0.832872
2025-07-13 0.070485 0.118523 0.187246 0.289516 0.434078 0.626949 0.898769
2025-07-20 0.066081 0.115186 0.187308 0.297044 0.455183 0.669663 0.976363
2025-07-27 0.060734 0.109833 0.183901 0.299146 0.468447 0.701835 1.040378
2025-08-03 0.057065 0.106748 0.183550 0.305488 0.487739 0.742649 1.117120
2025-08-10 0.053937 0.104406 0.184356 0.313872 0.510771 0.790110 1.205565
2025-08-17 0.048844 0.098259 0.178719 0.311995 0.518439 0.815901 1.264277
2025-08-24 0.044558 0.093067 0.174173 0.311418 0.527823 0.844233 1.327201
2025-08-31 0.040626 0.088092 0.169567 0.310353 0.536212 0.871152 1.388612
2025-09-07 0.038421 0.086064 0.169714 0.316868 0.556432 0.915956 1.477055
2025-09-14 0.035341 0.082056 0.166135 0.316946 0.566377 0.945525 1.543684
2025-09-21 0.032495 0.078199 0.162508 0.316646 0.575545 0.973999 1.609211
2025-09-28 0.029900 0.074566 0.158989 0.316251 0.584396 1.002061 1.674632
2025-10-05 0.028072 0.072328 0.157839 0.319834 0.599784 1.040517 1.756579
2025-10-12 0.026970 0.071518 0.159279 0.327998 0.622982 1.091681 1.859035
2025-10-19 0.025226 0.069123 0.157516 0.330274 0.636270 1.127464 1.938489